Saturday, October 16, 2010

NOAA and Old Farmer's Almanac Duel

So who's going to be right? Will NOAA's warming-centric prediction--one that has been increasingly WRONG--hold true for the winter, or will the Old Farmer's Almanac (80-85% accuracy) win the day with its colder-than-normal winter? We've seen how NOAA has blown it over the past several years; the world has had DEADLY COLD winters since 2008, even though NOAA, NASA, and other AGW proponents of the "consensus" tried to prop up "warmest <fill-in-the-blank> on record" claims. All of this while story upon story touted record cold and winter events in China, Russia, United States, and many other places around the world.

Here's my prediction: OFA wins by a mile!

DUBLIN, N.H. – Most of the country will see a colder-than-usual winter while summer and spring will be relatively cool and dry, according to the time-honored, complex calculations of the "Old Farmer's Almanac."

[From Old Farmer's Almanac: Global cooling to continue - Yahoo! News]

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED IN OND 2010 FOR LARGE PARTS OF THE LOWER 48 STATES EXCLUDING THE PACIFIC COAST, THE NORTHWEST AND IN THE SOUTHEAST EXTENDING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST TO NEW ENGLAND.  PROBABILITIES ARE GREATEST IN THE DESERT SOUTHWEST DUE PRIMARILY TO DECADAL TEMPERATURE TRENDS AND LA NINA IMPACTS.  BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED RIGHT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST, MAINLY DUE TO THE PERSISTENCE OF BELOW AVERAGE SSTS UP AND DOWN THE COAST.

[From Climate Prediction Center - Seasonal Outlook]