Showing posts sorted by relevance for query almanac. Sort by date Show all posts
Showing posts sorted by relevance for query almanac. Sort by date Show all posts

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

Farmer's Almanac: 'Catastrophic' Winter Predicted

Another nail in the AGW coffin? I think so. 80-85% accuracy is already better than all the global warming predictions combined. And it sure is cool so far...THIS SUMMER!

Farmer's Almanac Predicts Colder, 'Catastrophic' Winter

LEWISTON, Maine — People worried about the high cost of keeping warm this winter will draw little comfort from the Farmers' Almanac, which predicts below-average temperatures for most of the U.S.

"Numb's the word," says the 192-year-old publication, which claims an accuracy rate of 80 to 85 percent for its forecasts that are prepared two years in advance.

The almanac's 2009 edition, which goes on sale Tuesday, says at least two-thirds of the country can expect colder-than-average temperatures this winter, with only the Far West and Southeast in line for near-normal readings.

"This is going to be catastrophic for millions of people," said almanac editor Peter Geiger.

Saturday, October 16, 2010

NOAA and Old Farmer's Almanac Duel

So who's going to be right? Will NOAA's warming-centric prediction--one that has been increasingly WRONG--hold true for the winter, or will the Old Farmer's Almanac (80-85% accuracy) win the day with its colder-than-normal winter? We've seen how NOAA has blown it over the past several years; the world has had DEADLY COLD winters since 2008, even though NOAA, NASA, and other AGW proponents of the "consensus" tried to prop up "warmest <fill-in-the-blank> on record" claims. All of this while story upon story touted record cold and winter events in China, Russia, United States, and many other places around the world.

Here's my prediction: OFA wins by a mile!

DUBLIN, N.H. – Most of the country will see a colder-than-usual winter while summer and spring will be relatively cool and dry, according to the time-honored, complex calculations of the "Old Farmer's Almanac."

[From Old Farmer's Almanac: Global cooling to continue - Yahoo! News]

ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED IN OND 2010 FOR LARGE PARTS OF THE LOWER 48 STATES EXCLUDING THE PACIFIC COAST, THE NORTHWEST AND IN THE SOUTHEAST EXTENDING NORTHWARD ALONG THE EAST COAST TO NEW ENGLAND.  PROBABILITIES ARE GREATEST IN THE DESERT SOUTHWEST DUE PRIMARILY TO DECADAL TEMPERATURE TRENDS AND LA NINA IMPACTS.  BELOW AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ARE FAVORED RIGHT ALONG THE PACIFIC COAST, MAINLY DUE TO THE PERSISTENCE OF BELOW AVERAGE SSTS UP AND DOWN THE COAST.

[From Climate Prediction Center - Seasonal Outlook]

Thursday, February 11, 2010

NYT: Global Warming Causing Cooling and Warming

As predicted, the NYT steps into the fray to show their usual lefty colors. But they at least utter one truth—the cold, wintery, record-setting weather being experienced in the U.S. right now no more predicts cooling as the heat wave in Rio or lack of snow in Vancouver predicts warming. I wrote about this briefly the other day; unusual weather events have always occurred since record-keeping began. Just pick up an old almanac from the pre-industrial age if you don’t believe me.

So, can we finally admit that empirical data—often used by global warming alarmists when it supports their case (e.g., Gore’s hurricanes, Kerry’s tornados, heat waves, ice melts, etc.)—is useless in this discussion? Otherwise, skeptics like myself will tout cooler weather events (like those happening right now in the U.S. and other parts of the world) as antithetical arguments to prove a point; the point is that alarmists want to cherry-pick empirical observations to which the world pays attention, and that’s extremely disingenuous.

Instead, let’s look at the climate scientists in whom we’ve totally placed our trust to guide and propel MAJOR alterations in world governance, economies, politics, and energy consumption. These are the professionals who are supposed to uphold the highest ethics and give us nothing but untainted, unbiased scientific fact. However, scandal after scandal is currently rocking the main players in the climatology establishment (i.e., the U.N.’s IPCC and the Climate Research Unit at East Anglia University), who are MOSTLY responsible for driving the climate hysteria through advocacy and political bias (much of their “evidence” IS NOT BASED IN FACT at all). Al Gore himself was recently caught in a whopper about ice melts, and it was shown that he just made that prediction up out of thin air; this is the messiah of global warming to whom the world exalts as an ultimate purveyor of climate truth, and he’s a liar.

Curious in the second story that the NYT is near collapse (as well as most other liberal news outlets), while more centrist-to-conservative outlets are doing just fine.

Skeptics of global warming are using the record-setting snows to mock those who warn of dangerous human-driven climate change — this looks more like global cooling, they taunt.

Most climate scientists respond that the ferocious storms are consistent with forecasts that a heating planet will produce more frequent and more intense weather events.

But some independent climate experts say the blizzards in the Northeast no more prove that the planet is cooling than the lack of snow in Vancouver or the downpours in Southern California prove that it is warming.

[From Climate-Change Debate Is Heating Up in Deep Freeze - NYTimes.com]

NEW YORK, Feb 10 (Reuters) - The New York Times Co (NYT.N) warned on Wednesday that print newspaper advertising will continue to decline, sending shares down nearly 9 percent, even as the company slashed costs to reach a higher-than-expected fourth-quarter profit.

The results, like that of other U.S. newspaper publishers, show that revenue declines are easing as the economy improves and advertisers are taking ginger steps back into the market. Even so, they are reducing what they spend on print media anyway, keeping newspapers' long-term futures uncertain.

[From UPDATE 3-New York Times ad outlook dim, shares fall | Reuters]